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Sep 27 – A Whole New EB5 World

September 27, 2019

<p>Comment:A Whole New EB5 World<br>
<p>
<strong>Regs are real</strong>
</p>
<ul>
<li>
All current exemplars expire on November 21<sup>st</sup>. All current
TEA designations expire on November 21<sup>st</sup>
</li>
<li>
Due to above, 95% of projects currently in market will be gone on
November 21<sup>st</sup>. Rural EB5 projects will dominate the EB5
market after November 21<sup>st</sup>, and may be the ONLY projects in
the market after November 21<sup>st</sup>
</li>
<li>
Litigation against Regs has no realistic chance for success. Congress
will not get to DHS appropriations bill (where EB5 language could be
considered) until early 2020
</li>
<li>
Conclusion from above: EB5 industry has to live with the new Regs until
Congress is ready to consider remedies (perhaps in 2022 or later)
</li>
</ul>
<p>
<strong>Reality of projects today</strong>
</p>
<ul>
<li>
Every project is reporting palpable and substantive interest from
throughout the world, with most reporting multiple incoming wires at a
brisk pace. Projects which were struggling to get investors in the
first half of 2019 are suddenly within striking distance of completing
raises due to recent wires received. Many new projects are being
readied for the market, and will hit the market in September
</li>
<li>
The biggest surge is from India, with India retrogression likely to
cross 10 years after the surge is over, causing the overseas Indian EB5
market to be gone after November 21<sup>st </sup>for a decade or more,
until the Indian economy grows much bigger (India is still a poor
country, China is not). There is a large surge from China, which will
likely make China retrogression 25 years or worse – so those taking on
Chinese infants as investors today may be setting themselves up for
prolonged litigation (DOS long term projections for China are
underestimates). With surges in investment currently from Taiwan,
Brazil and Korea, all 3 countries may retrogress after November 21 <sup>st</sup>
</li>
<li>
Increase from $500k to $900k will NOT immediately result in decrease in
EB5 backlogs, since the existing investors as of November 21 <sup>st</sup> will have to go through the 10,000 annual visa bottleneck
first, before backlogs can be reduced. Presuming investment craters 90%
after November 21 <sup>st</sup>, backlogs will begin to come down after
5 years for Vietnam, Korea, Taiwan and Brazil, after 10 years for
India, and after 15 years for China. So the EB5 market will recover in
a decade, but expecting immediate relief due to increase in investment
amount is not realistic
</li>
<li>
Therefore, 90% of the EB5 securities distribution network will be
knocked out after November 21<sup>st</sup>, and with it, almost all of
the relationships built within the EB5 industry over a decade will be
gone. It is difficult to say what the new EB5 market will look like
after November 21<sup>st</sup> – our guess is that (i) the market will
be down 90% for the first year or more; (ii) only rural projects will
get traction; and (iii) new nations (Thailand??) will be the hot
locations
</li>
<li>
Conclusion from above: Make hay while the sun shines – Projects (except
rural projects) would be wise to put all their eggs in the pre-November
21 <sup>st</sup> basket, and suspend all other activities now and focus
solely on getting as much investment as possible before the curtain
comes down on November 21<sup>st</sup>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
<strong>Reality of investors today</strong>
</p>
<ul>
<li>
During August 2019, ILW conducted 12 events in USA, and 13 events in
India. The attitude of investors has dramatically changed – most
attendees seem to be of the view: “I HAVE to make a decision NOW – not
making a decision today IS a decision” (panic crowds have not yet
materialized, the quantity of investors at our events is about the same
as before the Reg). In consequence of the above, decision making time
for investors at our events has shrunk from months to weeks
</li>
</ul>
<p>
Projects would be well advised to consider our direct-to-investor events in
India and USA in September, still leaving enough time for Source of Funds
to be completed for filing before November 19th.
</p></p>

<!– END Comment –>

<!– Article; Blogging; News –> <!– <p><a href=””></a> –>
<p><a href=”http://discuss.ilw.com/articles/articles/391759-article-trump-administration-considers-lowering-the-refugee-cap-to-zero-by-katy-murdza” target=”_blank”>Article: Trump Administration Considers Lowering the Refugee Cap to Zero By Katy Murdza
</a></p>

<p><a href=”http://blog.ilw.com/gregsiskind/2019/09/12/immigrant-of-the-day-mohammad-salman-hamdani-first-responder/” target=”_blank”>Blogging: Immigrant of the Day: Mohammad Salman Hamdani – First Responder By Greg Siskind</a></p>

<p><a href=”http://discuss.ilw.com/blogs/bbuchanan/391732-don-t-forget-about-ier-in-immigration-compliance” target=”_blank”>Blogging: Don’t Forget About IER in Immigration Compliance By Bruce E. Buchanan</a></p>

<p><a href=”http://discuss.ilw.com/blogs/bbuchanan/391750-watch-out-for-worksite-inspections-by-ice-related-to-stem-opt” target=”_blank”>Blogging: Watch Out for Worksite Inspections by ICE related to STEM OPT By Bruce E. Buchanan</a></p>

<p><a href=”http://discuss.ilw.com/blogs/jdzubow/391744-what-happens-at-an-asylum-hearing-in-immigration-court” target=”_blank”>Blogging: What Happens at an Asylum Hearing in Immigration Court? By Jason Dzubow
</a></p>

<p><a href=”http://discuss.ilw.com/blogs/immigrationlawblogs/391738-trump-s-major-united-nations-speech-exposes-the-full-extent-of-fascist-ideology-at-the-roots-of-his-entire-immigration-agenda-by-roger-algase” target=”_blank”>Blogging: Trump’s major United Nations speech exposes the full extent of fascist ideology at the roots of his entire immigration agenda By Roger Algase By Roger Algase</a></p>

<p><a href=”http://discuss.ilw.com/articles/news/391757-news-uscis-publish-refugee-admissions-part-of-overall-humanitarian-relief-efforts-says-uscis-acting-director-cuccinelli” target=”_blank”>News: USCIS Publish Refugee Admissions Part of Overall Humanitarian Relief Efforts says USCIS Acting Director Cuccinelli</a></p>

<p><a href=”http://discuss.ilw.com/articles/news/391758-news-uscis-awards-fy-2019-citizenship-and-assimilation-grants” target=”_blank”>News: USCIS Awards FY 2019 Citizenship and Assimilation Grants</a></p>

<!– END Article; Blogging; News –>
<p>Focus: October Schedule – Last Grace Period Events!<br>

<table border=”0″ cellspacing=”0″ cellpadding=”0″ width=”100%”>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width=”498″ colspan=”3″>
<p align=”center”>
<strong>
OCT INDIA &amp; TURKEY
EXPOS
</strong>
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”498″ colspan=”3″>
<p align=”center”>
<strong>
WESTERN INDIA
</strong>
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Sun, Oct 13 &amp; Mon, Oct
14
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Mumbai
</p>
</td>
<td width=”174″ rowspan=”4″>
<p align=”center”>
Limited Seats Available
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Tues, Oct 15 &amp; Wed, Oct
16
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Surat
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Thurs, Oct 17 &amp; Fri,
Oct 18
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Baroda
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Sat, Oct 19 &amp; Sun, Oct
20
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Ahmedabad
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”498″ colspan=”3″>
<p align=”center”>
<strong>TURKEY</strong>
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Friday, Oct 25
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Istanbul
</p>
</td>
<td width=”174″ rowspan=”4″>
<p align=”center”>
Limited Seats Available
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Saturday, Oct 26
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Izmir
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Sunday, Oct 27
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Ankara
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Monday, Oct 28
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Istanbul
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”498″ colspan=”3″>
<p align=”center”>
<strong>
OCT H1B TO EB5 EXPOS IN
THE US
</strong>
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”498″ colspan=”3″>
<p align=”center”>
<strong>US WEST</strong>
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Thursday, Oct 3
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
St. Louis, MO
</p>
</td>
<td width=”174″ rowspan=”4″>
<p align=”center”>
Limited Seats Available
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Friday, Oct 4
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Denver, CO
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Saturday, Oct 5
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
San Francisco, CA
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Sunday, Oct 6
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Seattle, WA
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”498″ colspan=”3″>
<p align=”center”>
<strong>US CENTRAL</strong>
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Thursday, Oct 10
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
NYC Metro Area
</p>
</td>
<td width=”174″ rowspan=”4″>
<p align=”center”>
Limited Seats Available
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Friday, Oct 11
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Washington DC
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Saturday, Oct 12
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Charlotte, NC
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Sunday, Oct 13
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Tampa, FL
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”498″ colspan=”3″>
<p align=”center”>
<strong>US CENTRAL</strong>
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Thursday, Oct 17
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Pittsburgh, PA
</p>
</td>
<td width=”174″ rowspan=”4″>
<p align=”center”>
Limited Seats Available
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Friday, Oct 18
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Columbus, OH
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Saturday, Oct 19
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Cincinnati, OH
</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width=”180″>
<p align=”center”>
Sunday, Oct 20
</p>
</td>
<td width=”144″>
<p align=”center”>
Indianapolis, IN
</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<p><strong>About H1B to EB5 Expos:</strong></p>

<p align=”left”><br/>
In the last 19 months, ILW has conducted 70+ H1B to EB5 expos in 17 cities across U.S., 2480+ attendees, 90% are Indian H1Bs.</p>

<p><strong>H1B to EB5 Expos Format: </strong></p>

<ul type=”disc”>
<li>Half Day Event for Indian H-1Bs considering EB-5 Option (Speaking Opportunity included). Please bring brochures, PowerPoint presentation, table displays and business cards.</li>
<li>Special Note for Attorneys: This event will feature two immigration attorney panels solely on immigration law matters. The only way an immigration attorney can participate and speak at this event is if they are nominated by an issuer who is exhibiting at the event (there is no fee charged to immigration attorneys).</li>
</ul>

<p align=”center”><strong>About India Expos: </strong></p>

<ul type=”disc”>
<li>India is the #1 EB5 Country, larger than the rest of the world combined, including China.</li>
<li>India is currently the world’s fastest growing major economy, it is growing faster than China, the number of new millionaires created each year in India is more than China.</li>
<li>We will quickly put you in front of investors and agents to present your project to. Our expos will flood you with many prospects in a short time.</li>
</ul>

<p><strong>India Expos Format: </strong></p>

<ul type=”disc”>
<li>Expo featuring seminar and exhibition; Mini meetings with investors and agents.</li>
<li>Please bring brochures, PowerPoint presentation, table displays and business cards.</li>
<li>Special Note for Attorneys: The only way an immigration attorney can participate and speak at this event is if they are nominated by the issuer exhibiting at the custom expo. (there is no fee charged to immigration attorneys).</li>
</ul>

<p align=”center”><strong>About Turkey Expos: </strong></p>

<ul type=”disc”>
<li>Turkey is the fastest growing of the smaller EB5 markets, has significant population, and serious reasons to move families to USA. English is widely spoken in Turkey</li>
<li>Turkey has 80 million people, 18th largest country in the world. Turkey is NOT a poor country, its GDP is $751 billion, also 18th largest in the world (in other words, it has a large number of millionaires and deca-millionaires)</li>
</ul>

<p><strong>Turkey Expos Format: </strong></p>

<ul type=”disc”>
<li>Expo featuring seminar and exhibition; Meetings with investors.</li>
<li>Please bring brochures, PowerPoint presentation, table displays and business cards.</li>
<li>Special Note for Attorneys: The only way an immigration attorney can participate and speak at this event is if they are nominated by the issuer exhibiting at the custom expo. (there is no fee charged to immigration attorneys).</li>
</ul>

<!– Headlines –>
<a name=”Headlines” id=”Headlines”></a>
<!– Headline: <a href=””>Click here</a><br/> –>

<p>
Headline: Who would be affected by Trump’s new citizenship policy for children born overseas?
<a href=”https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-immigration-rule-who-would-be-affected-by-the-new-citizenship-policy-for-children-born-overseas/” target=”_blank”>Click here</a><br>

Headline: Homeland Security to collect social media usernames on immigration and visitor applications
<a href=”https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/06/politics/social-media-immigration-benefits-foreign-travel/index.html” target=”_blank”>Click here</a><br>

Headline: The US will admit just 18,000 refugees in the next year
<a href=”https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/9/26/20886038/trump-refugee-cap-executive-order” target=”_blank”>Click here</a><br>

Headline: U.S. Immigration Courts’ Backlog Exceeds One Million Cases
<a href=”https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-immigration-courts-backlog-exceeds-one-million-cases-11568845885″ target=”_blank”>Click here</a><br>

Headline: ICE officers make arrests in Washington state
<a href=”https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/u-s-immigration-officers-make-arrests-in-washington-state/” target=”_blank”>Click here</a><br>

</p>
<!– END Headlines –>

<!– Service Provider –>
<p><strong>Foreign Credential Evaluations & Translations</strong><br/>
American Evaluation & Translation Service, Inc. (AETS) is the industry leader in foreign credential evaluations and certified document translations. AETS provides the most competitive rates in the industry – including educational evaluations using the Aacrao EDGE database, as well as expert opinion work experience and position evaluations completed by university professors who have the “authority to grant college level credit for work experience and/or training.” AETS offers a variety of turn-around times, including same-day service for Educational and Work Experience Evaluations, and Expert Opinion Position Analysis and Position Evaluations. For list of rates and times, see: http://www.aetsinternational.com/
AETS also provides certified translations in 100+ languages, with translators that are specialists in 80+ fields. For a copy of the Application for Credential Evaluation and Translation Services, please visit the following link: http://www.aetsinternational.com/translation-services/

Please contact AETS at anytime at (786) 276-8190, visit <a href=”http://www.aetsinternational.com”>http://www.aetsinternational.com</a>, or email: <a href=”mailto:info@aetsinternational.com”>info@aetsinternational.com</a>.
New customers to AETS will receive a one-time 25% discount on their first Educational Evaluation request. (*Please mention promotion code: AETS.ILW.25 to receive the one-time discount.)

<!– END Service Provider –>

<!– Classifieds –>

<p>Help Wanted: Immigration Paralegal<br/>
<p>BIA Cases (Precedent Decisions Volumes) and Interpreter Releases Collection<br/>
New York, NY – Downtown Immigration Law Firm is seeking an Immigration Paralegal fluent in Punjabi &/or Gujarati. 2-3 years’ experience preferred. Experienced in Family-based immigration & Asylum cases. Compile & analyze case facts, draft correspondence to USCIS, DOL, DOS and clients. Update and maintain case files via LawLogix. BS/BA degree preferred. Strong case management & administrative skills. Attention to detail essential. Ability to work independently as well as with firm immigration dept. Excellent writing skills. please reach out to Mr. Patel at <a href=”mailto:LRBPJP@aol.com”>LRBPJP@aol.com</a>
</p>

<!– END Classifieds –>

<!– Letters to the Editor –>
<p><a href=”http://discuss.ilw.com/blogs/idblog/391717-letters-of-the-week-sep-23-sep-27″ target=”blank”>Letters of the Week</a></p>
<!– END Letters to the Editor –>

<!– ComingsNGoings –>
<p>ComingsNGoings: Submit Your Announcement<br>

If you have a professional announcement such as: New Position, Honors And Awards, Mergers & Acquisitions, New Office Address, New Appointment, New Associate, New Attorney, New Partner, that you wish to share with the Immigration Daily community, send your professional announcement to: <a href=”mailto:editor@ilw.com”>editor@ilw.com</a> comingsNgoings announcements is a free service
</p>
<!– END ComingsNGoings –>

<p>
<hr class=”ilwDailyLine”/>
<span class=”ilwFinePrint”>An Important disclaimer! The
information provided on this page is not legal advice.
Transmission of this information is not intended to create, and
receipt by you does not constitute, an attorney-client
relationship. Readers must not act upon any information without
first seeking advice from a qualified attorney. Copyright
1995-2017 American Immigration LLC, ILW.COM. Send correspondence
and articles to <a href=
“mailto:editor@ilw.com”>editor@ilw.com</a>. Letters and articles
may be edited and may be published and otherwise used in any
medium. The views expressed in letters and articles do not
necessarily represent the views of ILW.COM.</span>
<hr class=”ilwDailyLine”/>

<a name=”publisher” id=”publisher”></a> <!–PublisherEditor–>
Publisher: Sam Udani ISSN: 1930-062X<br/>
<a href=”http://www.ilw.com/immigrationdaily/advisoryboard.shtm”>Advisory
Board</a>: Jason Dzubow, Rami Fakhoury, Matthew Kolken, Chris Musillo,
Lory Rosenberg, Greg Siskind, Joel Stewart, Margaret Wong
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Martin Jolic and Bratton LLC (formerly known as Sharon & Kálnoki LLC) is a full service Cleveland-based immigration law practice. We offer representation for almost all immigrant and nonimmigrant processes to clients worldwide.

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